99 on 3 suited flop. I'm lost

Dagger78 · #1 09-22-2005, 07:06 PM

The only read is the flop bettor 27/9/1.3 over 300 hands

I didn't think there was much use in betting the flop, but once I can CR to hopefully get it HU I think it was the right call. I was hoping to force out a lone T, J,Q in case the button had a J with no Diamond. Or get the pot heads up if he has a diamond and no jack. If he has both, well that's gonna suck.

Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
UTG calls, 2 folds, Hero raises, MP3 calls, CO calls, Button calls, 1 fold, BB calls, UTG calls.

Flop: (12.50 SB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (6 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero checks, MP3 checks, CO checks, Button bets, BB folds, UTG folds, Hero raises, MP3 calls, CO folds, Button calls.

Turn: (9.25 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets, MP3 calls, Button folds.

River: (11.25 BB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 checks.

Final Pot: 11.25 BB

KDawgCometh · #2 09-22-2005, 08:35 PM

I'd just lead the flop. I'd also bet the river. I don't see how the 4 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] changes anything

Dagger78 · #3 09-22-2005, 09:02 PM

I checked the river because I think I'm either behind or he's not calling. I don't think a random person would be calling down with a random pair too often.

#4 09-22-2005, 09:09 PM

everything looks good untill the river.
do you have poker tracker? i would liketo know what your river agression is.

Dunno · #5 09-22-2005, 09:09 PM

Preflop - Nice

Flop - Bet out to get rid of persosn who have 1 overcard

Turn - Good bet on player dropped and the other one could have the Ad (if he had the flush or a J he would have raised u)

River - For me an easy value bet. He could pay u of thinking u had a dimond and try to bluff here or he just thinks hes 7s are good.

Redd · #6 09-22-2005, 09:09 PM

[ QUOTE ]
I checked the river because I think I'm either behind or he's not calling. I don't think a random person would be calling down with a random pair too often.

[/ QUOTE ]

I beg to differ here. I think a random person can call down with alot worse than a random pair.

Dagger78 · #7 09-22-2005, 09:17 PM

2.1 over 120k hands

#8 09-22-2005, 09:19 PM

nice

Dagger78 · #9 09-22-2005, 09:23 PM

55% of the time he calls he has a 2 or 7, or PP he called down with?

I bet most of the time he CALLS, he has a J(afraid to raise , or a flush he never raised with.

I think there is is more value in letting him bet a busted flush (which he MIGHT do).

I'm just speculating here, but I don't think value betting is bad here, I think it's close either way

Dunno · #10 09-22-2005, 09:39 PM

Yeah the moment i posted it and went down for some snacks i was thinking about the river her.. I really think he will fold the major part of hes hands here so its really close i agree. I would bet this in a blink of an eye, the multitable way [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]