#11
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Re: Who bets this river?
Niss,
You make a very good point about keeping the other players involved...and that is exactly how I would have played this hand a month ago. But...after reading the PLO8 posts, I've learned that sometimes...when you have the nut low and a marginal high hand you want those other high draws out. So, I made a pot limit type play in a limit game. I am absolutely certain that if I had played this hand passively, that one of those two guys who I had knocked out with my raise would have backed into a high hand and taken half of my pot. Remember...Pokertracker tells me that the original opponent has good VPIP for this game, but is a losing player. When that 2 comes up, it could very easily have counterfitted his perfect low and given him a so-so low. When he raises back at me, I know he has either A 3 or a good high hand. It turned out that he DID have an A 3 just like me...but he DID NOT have anything to go with it even though he was raising like there was no tomorrow. He checked the river...I bet...he called...I took down 3/4'ers of the pot. Dave |
#12
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Re: Who bets this river?
It looks to me like Pipe's EV analysis is right on. In a situation like this where I estimate my EV to be neutral, I would rather bet than check because it gives me a chance to look more laggy at no cost. I like to maintain a laggy image in omaha more than a tight image because I believe this increases my average win rate by encouraging more loose calls.
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