HU against tight thinking player

[MEbenhoe]

As the subject says, villian is a tight thinking player, knows how to get away from a hand, and is pretty average passive-aggressively, maybe slightly aggressive. He's aware that i'm an aggressive player.
note: this is a different opponent than the one from the previous hand, despite the similar setup

5 handed

I have QcTc
I raise, 3 folds, Villian calls in BB

Flop Qs Ts 3d
check, I bet, Villian raise, i call

Turn 7h
Villian bets, i raise, villian calls

River Ad
villian checks, i check

[Nick C]

Yeah, okay. KJ is 16 combos, and KQ/QJ is also 16 combos. This is too narrow of a range, I think, but we're 50/50 so far. AQ is 6 more combos we lose to, though Villain quite likely would have 3-bet that preflop at this 5-handed table. Meanwhile, Villain will probably pay off with A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] X [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], when he has that. But AT (6 combos) can't be ruled out. JT/KT (16 combos) could be payoff hands, but maybe that ace will be the thing that makes Villain decide to lay those down.

I probably would have made an auto-pilot bet, but the decision does seem closer to me now than it did at first. I still think I like a bet, though. I wouldn't like getting check-raised, but I would call, hoping for something like AJ.

I like it.

NH.

[krimson]

Do we really think that villian is not on hands like QJ, Q9, Q8s often enough for us to value bet this?

[ErrantNight]

villain can't be on a spade draw?

[Nick C]

[ QUOTE ]
villain can't be on a spade draw?

[/ QUOTE ]

He could. And I think we'll get paid off if he holds the A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].