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Old 11-13-2005, 10:38 PM
w_alloy w_alloy is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: waiting for winter to SKI
Posts: 75
Default Screen name change (fatskiis) And some long (LC) expatiation

So i just hit 100k hands at shorthanded, and decided now was as good a time as any to change screenames. The name is fatskiis. I have prolly 45k hands since party split, half at 5/10 half at 10/20 (all the 10/20 this month). Any comments on anything would be appreciated.

(summary at bottom)
I have been continually astounded at how many mistakes I continue to make. I recently tried to record a video but there was so many hands played obviously incorrectly that I felt there was no reason to post it. I tried a few more times and the same thing happened. I have always had a problem with this, but I assumed it would get better with experience. I have, but hardly. If I had to put a number on it, maybe 6 hands per 100 I feel were obviously misplayed, and probably 1.5 per 100 big mistakes like this one. This isnt to say I havent been winning. I am obviously running well, at around 3 BB/100 over my last 60k. Which brings me to my next question.

I am finally starting to make real money at this, and am unsure where to go from here. I have 1500 BBs for 10/20 even though I moved up less then 2 weeks ago. I started playing in march after reading HEPFAP in february. I knew virtually nothing about poker before this year. I started playing seriously only in august. I havent run as well as I am making it sound, I was lucky to fall into a winning style immediately and have had 2 300BB+ downswings. I only just turned 20 and am in college, which I am not enjoying (well the school part anyways). I am seriously thinking about making a (temporary?) career out of this, as I feel I have the skillset to succeed at high limits. It seems 10/20 6m is more profitable then 15/30 full or short. 30/60 is very scary. 20/40 would seem like the logical choice, but I am hesitant because I dont love full and the higher sh games seem very tough. Also, I still have a TON to learn and am risk-averse.

Lastly, have recently considered making some small metagame changes to my game that seem slightly out of line with what most here would agree with. Inpired partly by the DERB and partly by some meditation on Shania, I am calling down way lighter then I used to. I think making some slightly -EV call downs might refund itself. I'm not talking about anything major, my WTSD over this period has been around 40 (my other stats 27.5/18/2.2). For example, I rarely fold A high against standard 10/20 opponents when they call from the BB (or SB or elsewhere if they are loose) and the flop comes raggy or paired. If it is both I never fold. The other small derbish change has been rarely capping some hands preflop against tags I normally would never cap, like 88 or QJs, after I get 3 bet. By rarely I mean around 10%. Lastly, I have started playing quite loose preflop against bad opponents. Some examples would be limping (maybe raising depending on blinds) with hands like Ax, Q7 or even J7s on the button after a 70+ vpip limps, as long as I have a good read of him postflop and he sucks. Another would be 3 betting from the button the top 20%-25% hands after a 50%+ att. steal player raises from CO, especially if I have a good read postflop. I think I might break even or lose moeny on some of these plays but the advertisment of 3 betting with KTs seems to be worth it. The thing about these metagame changes is they seem a bit contradictory. I am trying to decrease my action with the 1st, and increase it with the others. However, a closer look reveals that the specific main objectives of each point do not clash.

...Anyways, sorry for rambling so long and so many question. To summarize:
1) Comments on player sn=fatskiis?
2) How many mistakes do you think you make /100? is 6 way too high?
3) What to do after 10/20? Any general advice for someone in my situation?
4) What do we think about slightly -EV plays for metagame at 10/20+? Which plays specifically are best?
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