1 BB Saved Is 1 BB Earned?

ninjaunderwear · #1 10-14-2005, 06:28 PM

Villain is 33.91 / 2.87 / 0.92 after 174 hands.

Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (6 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
2 folds, Hero raises, 1 fold, SB calls, 1 fold.

Flop: (5 SB) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets, SB calls.

Turn: (3.50 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB bets, Hero calls.

River: (5.50 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB bets, Hero ???

How is the turn? Raising or folding sure seem like decent options as well.

On the river, am I ahead enough to profitably call?

#2 10-14-2005, 06:32 PM

I don't like that turn donk bet

deception5 · #3 10-14-2005, 06:40 PM

I don't mind a turn fold here - pot is fairly small and there aren't too many reasons for villian to play this hand the way he did with an ace or 2 pair or better. He's moderately passive and is often calling preflop rather than reraising with a premium hand as that pfr% is very low.

mojobluesman · #4 10-14-2005, 06:45 PM

I don't like that donk bet on the turn. I think you are probably up against AJ. The pot is so darn small, I may have actually tossed it on the turn.

#5 10-14-2005, 06:52 PM

[ QUOTE ]
I think you are probably up against AJ.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think you are more likely up against Ax

lautzutao · #6 10-14-2005, 07:00 PM

I'd fold that river. SB woke up when he hit that jack and didn't slow down.

mojobluesman · #7 10-14-2005, 07:01 PM

Could be, but the donk bet showed up when the J fell. That doesn't always mean something, but it doesn't always "not" mean something.

#8 10-14-2005, 07:08 PM

His 34 vpip leads me to think he would play any ace here, if I had a jack, I would try to c/r this, I don't think you are going to get anybody who has nothing to call that bet, and it wouldn't be terrible if that gets checked through(his perspective).

mojobluesman · #9 10-14-2005, 07:15 PM

You have to at least ask yourself why did he check the flop but bet the turn unless he improved on the turn. Like I said, he may not have, but he may have.