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$5 UB 15/30 Against Loose Fish
This hand occurs about 30 minutes into the tourney. I couldn't find the hand history, but suits don't matter and I remember the cards, so that won't be a problem. My read on the villain in this hand is as follows...He built up a stack to around 3500 very early on. He has seen at least 95% of the flops, I don't recall a hand that he folded. He called a raise from a player who had seen zero flops until half an hour in, and turned out to have AQ. He obviously likes to see flops. He also plays very weakly post flop. If he bets, and anybody raises ANY amount he's folded. He's done this over 12 times going into this hand, and his stack has dwindled down to 1500 at this point...
UTG folds UTG+1 min-raises (60) MP1, MP2, MP3, CO+1, CO, folds Hero (K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]) bets pot (225) SB folds, BB folds Villain calls Ok, so I bet the pot with a crappy hand. I figured my hand was good against this particular player though, and since it folded to me I thought I'd be able to get headsup with him and most likely steal the pot from him. Flop: T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] He checks, I flopped OESD so I check hoping to hit it on the turn, and if not possibly bluff the pot. Turn: 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Ok brick, no flush draws, didn't help my hand much. At this point, he bets 250 into a 495 pot. Hero...??? Should I raise, if so how much, or is it too much of a gamble? Should I just call and fold the river if I don't connect? How about if he plays back, min-raises my min-raise, or pushes all in? Any advice is greatly appreciated, and this has gotten long enough so I'll just submit now. |
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