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Re: Preflop 88, raise here or not.
[ QUOTE ]
Remember, if villain starts with 2 unpaired cards, he'll only flop a pair about 1/3 of the time. So even when there are overcards, there's about a 50% chance that he missed the flop or doesn't like his hand much. [/ QUOTE ] This suggests that betting the flop is wrong. If I take down the pot 50% of the time, then I net PFR. The other 50% of the time, I lose PFR + flop bet. This is a net loss. So either he's got to fold way more than 50%, or the times that I hit my hand have to make up for it. "A mix between the two" is a cheap answer; given that, which do you think dominates here? |
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