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#31
07-23-2005, 05:37 PM
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Re: Alert: Party BBJ now +EV through 5/10 level
Uglyowk,
Ok, yes I concur that the lottery example is somewhat different. But, what I was trying to illustrate here is that chasing positive EV in a miniscule probability event can't always be worth "running to your computer" as you put it. For example, the ring games themselves should be beatable for the player in question. Then - if all that is true, what are the chances that you're gonna hit quads in the same hand that someone else has the st8 flush, etc. 
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#32
07-23-2005, 05:50 PM
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Re: Alert: Party BBJ now +EV through 5/10 level
[ QUOTE ] due to the fact that there can be multiple winners, forcing a split pot. [/ QUOTE ] right. I'm not familiar with my lottery-math either. but if you have a lottery with a 13-mil to 1 chance of hitting....and the lottery stands at $20-mil (for a $1 ticket)....is it still a +EV play if 100-million decide to play it? I think not. If you are lucky enough to hit there is a good chance that you will be splitting the pot with 1 or 2 other folk.
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