3 game teaser LOCK

teaseing 12 YES I said 12---
All early games
Rams +3.5
Eagles +2
Bengals +7
Am I nuts or are these LOCKS

[craig r]

[ QUOTE ]
teaseing 12 YES I said 12---
All early games
Rams +3.5
Eagles +2
Bengals +7
Am I nuts or are these LOCKS

[/ QUOTE ]

They are not locks. Do you think if PHI loses, they lose by more than 2? I would never do a 3 team 12 pt teaser (what odds did you have to lay), but I assume you would still never cross the 0 in these either.

craig

the odds arent great AT ALL but I HIGHLY doubt
Oakland goes into Philly and even makes it a game..Stl will not only win but crush tenn.
and cinn. well nuff said..
PLUS im + in all 3 I feel this is a very safe bet..hope im right..thanks for quick response

[flatline]

I would say you are nuts.

[MCS]

These look like 10-point teasers, not 12. If they ARE 12, then you're getting crazy lines and should be betting heavily on the dog in all three of these games since you're getting a very good price that is not widely available.

Anyway, I don't see the value here. The idea that they're "locks" is laughable, so if the only other alternative is "you are nuts" then I pick that.

nuts...what game there looks bad getting points...

[MCS]

[ QUOTE ]
nuts...what game there looks bad getting points...

[/ QUOTE ]

Each one is individually a favorite to win. But let's say you have a 75% chance of winning each. That's pretty good, right? If so, you're winning this bet about 42% of the time, which is bad.

Again, where are you getting these lines of Rams -8.5, Eagles -10, Bengals -5? I would want to bet the other side on all three.

[craig r]

[ QUOTE ]
Again, where are you getting these lines of Rams -8.5, Eagles -10, Bengals -5? I would want to bet the other side on all three.

[/ QUOTE ]

No kidding. I think they are Ten point teasers. I know places have these in NBA and they are all 10 point. I think, but not positive, you have to lay 120. I don't even think any of these have a 75% chance by themselves. Maybe the bengals and rams because they cross key numbers. But, I really don't think PHI will lose by 1 point only if they lose (I am almost positive that a tie loses...and 2 is not super common, but it could happen).

craig

[MCS]

[ QUOTE ]
I think they are Ten point teasers.

[/ QUOTE ]

I do too, but he/she didn't respond to my last post asking about that.

[ QUOTE ]
I don't even think any of these have a 75% chance by themselves.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, I have no clue. I was just pointing out that even if they do, it's still a bad bet.

[craig r]

It is definitely a bad bet. Thee is no way a book is going to let somebody get 10 points and the bettor not be at a disadvantage. I am pretty sure it is -120 with ties being a loss. So, even at 75%, you are right, it will be a loss. Of course, my logic is flawed, because some books have 6 pt teasers with a tie and a loss being a push, at even money. If you pick the right spots, these are beatable. But, most books are -110.

craig