4 set hand (low content)

[mosta]

I don't know if this is more unlikely, but in a limit hold em game I once flopped set over 2 sets with an overpair out there as well. I did nothing but call, until the river, may have left a bet out there (forgot if all were capped), but my sudden lead on the river unfortunately froze them.

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I don't know if this is more unlikely, but in a limit hold em game I once flopped set over 2 sets with an overpair out there as well.

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Your hand in Hold'em is way, way, way, way more unlikely then the OP in Omaha.

Not that you asked anyone to calculate it but I'll bite.

I'd estimate 6^3 for the three flopped sets or about 200 times less likely. Hard to estimate the relative probability of an overpair in Hold'em vs. a 4th set in Omaha but I doubt it makes more than a 2 times difference up or down. So I'd say your hand is 100 to 400 times less likely. Wow.

[mosta]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I don't know if this is more unlikely, but in a limit hold em game I once flopped set over 2 sets with an overpair out there as well.

[/ QUOTE ]
Your hand in Hold'em is way, way, way, way more unlikely then the OP in Omaha.

Not that you asked anyone to calculate it but I'll bite.

I'd estimate 6^3 for the three flopped sets or about 200 times less likely. Hard to estimate the relative probability of an overpair in Hold'em vs. a 4th set in Omaha but I doubt it makes more than a 2 times difference up or down. So I'd say your hand is 100 to 400 times less likely. Wow.

[/ QUOTE ]

yeah I should have gotten that in the first place (two-card game versus four-card game) maybe I'll try to compute it later. for your curiosity, here is the original unaltered hand history.

***** Hand History for Game 660017237 *****
3/6 TEXASHTGAMETABLE (LIMIT) - TUE JUN 08 18:38:56 EDT 2004
Table Pirates Cove (Real Money) -- Seat 2 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 1: dicefordeath ( $138.50)
Seat 2: myshkin9 ( $132.25)
Seat 3: d3man17 ( $174)
Seat 4: I_HATE_Money ( $291)
Seat 5: Derek33 ( $57)
Seat 6: justlikemike ( $104)
Seat 7: thong555 ( $137)
Seat 8: rascal7 ( $23)
Seat 9: terryterryw5 ( $115.50)
Seat 10: keone59 ( $197.50)
I_HATE_Money posts small blind (1)
Derek33 is sitting out.
justlikemike posts big blind (3)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to I_HATE_Money [ Th, Ts ]
thong555 calls (3)
rascal7 calls (3)
terryterryw5 calls (3)
keone59 calls (3)
dicefordeath folds.
myshkin9 calls (3)
I_HATE_Money calls (2)
justlikemike checks.
** Dealing Flop ** : [ Td, 7d, 2h ]
I_HATE_Money checks.
justlikemike checks.
thong555 checks.
rascal7 bets (3)
terryterryw5 folds.
keone59 raises (6) to 6
myshkin9 folds.
I_HATE_Money calls (6)
justlikemike calls (6)
thong555 raises (9) to 9
rascal7 calls (6)
keone59 raises (6) to 12
I_HATE_Money calls (6)
justlikemike calls (6)
thong555 calls (3)
rascal7 calls (3)
** Dealing Turn ** : [ Qh ]
I_HATE_Money checks.
justlikemike checks.
thong555 checks.
rascal7 bets (6)
keone59 raises (12) to 12
I_HATE_Money calls (12)
justlikemike calls (12)
thong555 raises (18) to 18
rascal7 calls (2)
rascal7 is all-In.
keone59 raises (12) to 24
I_HATE_Money calls (12)
justlikemike calls (12)
thong555 calls (6)
Creating Main Pot with $118 with rascal7
** Dealing River ** : [ 4c ]
I_HATE_Money checks.
justlikemike checks.
thong555 checks.
keone59 bets (6)
I_HATE_Money raises (12) to 12
justlikemike folds.
thong555 calls (12)
keone59 calls (6)
I_HATE_Money: let's go
** Summary **
Main Pot: $118 | Side Pot 1: $100 | Rake: $3
Board: [ Td 7d 2h Qh 4c ]
dicefordeath balance $138.50, didn't bet (folded)
myshkin9 balance $129.25, lost $3 (folded)
d3man17 balance $174, sits out
I_HATE_Money balance $458, bet $51, collected $218, net +$167 [ Th Ts ] [ three of a kind, tens -- Qh,Th,Ts,Td,7d ]
damien0817 balance $150, sits out
justlikemike balance $65, lost $39 (folded)
thong555 balance $86, lost $51 [ 2c 2s ] [ three of a kind, twos -- Qh,Td,2c,2s,2h ]
rascal7 balance $0, lost $23 [ Ks Kd ] [ a pair of kings -- Ks,Kd,Qh,Td,7d ]
terryterryw5 balance $112.50, lost $3 (folded)
keone59 balance $146.50, lost $51 [ 7h 7s ] [ three of a kind, sevens -- Qh,Td,7h,7s,7d ]