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  #1  
Old 11-29-2005, 01:07 PM
fire_fly fire_fly is offline
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Posts: 188
Default 99.8% to win on the flop

i know this is dumb, but hey, they made a forum for it [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

me 2 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

villain j [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 10 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

Flop 2 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

I bet (my table image is that i'm a moron at this point, one i like to have when i make a hand) I've been running over this guy for a while and he's been fighting back lately. Let'em fight [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

villain calls

turn 9 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] I bet, he raises, i cream myself and 3bet, he calls.

river Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] I am so happy at flopping quads it never even crosses my mind that they might lose, i'm not even looking at the board.

It's capped, i lose. I was honestly just so amazed i didn't tilt one little bit. I actually think it's kinda cool for some reason. Oh well, he took a 107 dollar pot from me, good times.

Oh yeah, so I plugged it into a hold'em calculator, and he wins this hand 1 out of every 500 times.
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  #2  
Old 11-29-2005, 03:00 PM
captZEEbo1 captZEEbo1 is offline
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Default Re: 99.8% to win on the flop

limit bad beats are so stupid, although this one is moderately funny
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  #3  
Old 11-30-2005, 12:16 AM
DRD66 DRD66 is offline
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Posts: 41
Default Re: 99.8% to win on the flop

[ QUOTE ]
limit bad beats are so stupid

[/ QUOTE ]

[content] Seen this comment in several threads, and it totally pisses me off. It's the beat, not the bucks. When you're playing perfect at .1/.25 LHE and some uberfish with a horseshoe jammed up his ass sucks out on you repeatedly it hurts just as bad as at $50K NL and should be posted. [/content]

Then again, maybe I'm just bitter 'cause I'm a lame-o limit player. Oh, how I long for the day when I can join studs like you in that nirvana that is no-limit. We'll all sit around wearing sunglasses while playing online and practice shouting "Presto" and wondering what dipsh*t prop bet we can make like the big boys and hoping someone calls our double-secret-semi-bluff-table-image push so we can afford that cool jacket Vince VanPatten was wearing last week and then masturbate ourselves blind thinking about Ed Norton and Matt Damon and just celebrating how damn cool we all are.

I bet you were into line dancing when that was hot.

If you were even alive then.
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  #4  
Old 11-30-2005, 01:36 AM
TheWorstPlayer TheWorstPlayer is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Boring work = post too much
Posts: 2,435
Default Re: 99.8% to win on the flop

I made this comment in another thread. If you played NL, you would know what we mean. In NL, bad beats are like "I played for ten hours and built my stack up from 50bb to 500bb. Then I get all in with AA for 500bb pf and the other deep stack beats me with 67o." That is real pain. Or the first live NL hand I played where I got check/raised all in by QdQx on Ad8d3x board when I had AA and he hit running diamonds. That is real pain. When it's like "He hit runner runner quads to beat my quads!!!! I lost 10bb on the hand!!!" it's just kind of a let down. Yeah, the beats are just as big, but the effect is so small. Blah.
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  #5  
Old 11-30-2005, 02:18 AM
DRD66 DRD66 is offline
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Default Re: 99.8% to win on the flop

Here's the thing: I completely understand what you're saying, but still don't agree and here's why. NL variance and standard deviation is HUGE BOTH WAYS. Read it again. Yea, 500bb is more than 10bb (and actually, the hand you describe would be more like 25bb), but the effect is about the same. You ever try to win back 25bb at a limit table? Ain't easy. At 2.5bb/100 (a very respectable win rate), I'm playing another 1000 hands to make that back. Or, like you, praying for an idiot to sit down at my table to donate it. I'm sure you've won a few 500bb hands - it all evens out no matter what game you play.

And, truth be told, I do play NL. My online limit play bankrolls some live NL games around town where play is unbelievably soft if you can take the swings. First time I sat at one of these (in a smoky union hall with a bunch of iron workers), I made an atrocious pf call of a 10xbb raise with QTo. Flop came QQT, raiser pushed with pocket ten's and I took his stack. Lost most of it to an even dumber call 3 hours later, and it hurt so bad my hands were shaking. But I still play there, 'cause long run I'm winning.

Play whatever you want to play, but respect all the games and all the serious players.

Shuffle up and deal. [/soap box]
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  #6  
Old 11-29-2005, 03:30 PM
rwanger rwanger is offline
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Posts: 49
Default Re: 99.8% to win on the flop

[ QUOTE ]

Oh yeah, so I plugged it into a hold'em calculator, and he wins this hand 1 out of every 500 times.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm surprised it's that high! [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
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  #7  
Old 11-29-2005, 03:34 PM
TheMainEvent TheMainEvent is offline
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Posts: 544
Default Re: 99.8% to win on the flop

[ QUOTE ]
river Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

[ QUOTE ]
It's capped

[/ QUOTE ]

HEE-HAW
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  #8  
Old 11-29-2005, 08:57 PM
ghostface ghostface is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: NC State
Posts: 160
Default Re: 99.8% to win on the flop

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
river Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

[ QUOTE ]
It's capped

[/ QUOTE ]

HEE-HAW

[/ QUOTE ]

Just call the raise.

This is probly the worst forum ever to add to 2p2.
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  #9  
Old 11-29-2005, 09:00 PM
Mason Hellmuth Mason Hellmuth is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 164
Default Re: 99.8% to win on the flop

[ QUOTE ]
Just call the raise.

This is probly the worst advice ever to add to 2p2.

[/ QUOTE ]
I hate to do this, but I suspect that you're actually serious.
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  #10  
Old 11-29-2005, 03:42 PM
PoBoy321 PoBoy321 is offline
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Posts: 396
Default Re: 99.8% to win on the flop

I really can't believe that you think that there could possibly be something wrong with capping the river.
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