Facing large raise w/a Set...200NL

[guaranteedBluff]

I considered this, but believed that 78s was outside of his PF calling range.

[4_2_it]

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I would probably still call because I cannot lay down a set when a gut shot draw hits.


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You dont see 78s playing this way? I think it makes more sense than a TAG with QK calling the flop on a gut shot draw. It also fits the preflop limp. Or maybe you thought it too and just missed it in the post and I'm being a nit to a nit [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

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Does a 15/5 play 78 OOP at full ring? I don't know, I assumed no in my post, but I have been fully indoctrinated into 6-max so I could be overlooking the obvious (as I am prone to do [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] )

[Skuzzy]

I expect to see a small SC limped here quite a bit from 15/5 players. What hands do you think make up the 10% they do limp? If they arent limping SC's here then I'm putting them on a lot of hands I shouldn't.

Anyone fancy trawling their PT database to see? My own estimates for 15% are roughly All pairs, AK, AQ any position, AJ, KQ, Suited Broadway, Axs, SCs from MP, Offsuit Broadway in back only.

[4_2_it]

If villain has those stats and does play 78, does he raise that flop or call until he hits?

[guaranteedBluff]

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Anyone fancy trawling their PT database to see? My own estimates for 15% are roughly All pairs, AK, AQ any position, AJ, KQ, Suited Broadway, Axs, SCs from MP, Offsuit Broadway in back only.

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I would guess that this range is about VP$P of 20-25. I am apprx. 15% and don't call PF in full ring this liberally.

[guaranteedBluff]

I would think that he raises, or leads the flop with an OESD. He is aggressive postflop.