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Old 10-31-2005, 05:15 PM
SeaEagle SeaEagle is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 3
Default Re: Out of line line with AJs in blinds?

[ QUOTE ]
There is nothing wrong with betting this turn. It is a break even bet if we have two callers and if all three call (which is fair likely) betting is +EV.


[/ QUOTE ]
The very best case is that hero has over 25% equity and all 3 people call, which is slightly +EV. Hero does not have 33% equity so if only 2 people call, the bet is -EV. And there are times when hero doesn't have 25% equity.

And if UTG raises and both people fold (worse case) the bet is downright painful.

Overall, this bet is -EV. Maybe not hugely so, but still -EV.
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