20/40 extravaganza...back to basics, AQ

Surfbullet · #1 11-26-2005, 03:51 AM

Villain is very aggro. Known to semibluff frequently, and bluff rarely.
87/35/2 over 80.

Party Poker 20/40 Hold'em (5 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Surf is MP with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG calls, Surf raises, 1 fold, SB calls, BB calls, UTG calls.

Flop: (8 SB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG bets, Surf raises, SB folds, BB folds, UTG calls.

Turn: (6 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG checks, Surf bets, UTG calls.

River: (8 BB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
UTG checks, Surf bets, UTG raises, Surf calls.

Final Pot: 12 BB

#2 11-26-2005, 04:44 AM

You'll lose often here. You'll also win way more often than 1 in 11.

redbeard · #3 11-26-2005, 04:58 AM

i agree at 11 to 1 you'll catch enough ace hands that you have outkicked to make it worth the call, but i'm sure it is pretty close. i'd say with ace ten kicker it might become a fold.

#4 11-26-2005, 05:02 AM

Not to this guy. Kicker isn't the issue when he's playing 87% of his hands (with a 2.0 PFA no less). Random ass-hattery is the issue. The guy's obviously a moron. I expect his raise to be completely moronic at least 10% of the time. Probably more. 73o FTW.

redbeard · #5 11-26-2005, 05:06 AM

good point. those are moronic stats. i think any ace needs to call a raise here after bryce pointed out the true craziness of the villan's stats.

mscags · #6 11-26-2005, 05:13 AM

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bluff rarely.

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Seems like an easy fold to me. What am I missing?

imported_ncray · #7 11-26-2005, 07:10 AM

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i agree at 11 to 1 you'll catch enough ace hands that you have outkicked to make it worth the call, but i'm sure it is pretty close. i'd say with ace ten kicker it might become a fold.

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Surf's line also resembles that of a mid pocket pair such as TT. If villain had a weak ace, the c/r would be for value. I call this almost every time.

Surfbullet · #8 11-26-2005, 07:17 AM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
i agree at 11 to 1 you'll catch enough ace hands that you have outkicked to make it worth the call, but i'm sure it is pretty close. i'd say with ace ten kicker it might become a fold.

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Surf's line also resembles that of a mid pocket pair such as TT. If villain had a weak ace, the c/r would be for value. I call this almost every time.

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This was my thinking as well, I still don't know if it's right though. His sheer aggression is staggering given the %age of hands he plays, which makes me want to call this down. On my best day ever (yesterday) i'd call and win vs Ax. On the worst day ever (today) I call and lose to... 64o.

Surf

zephed · #9 11-26-2005, 07:26 AM

[ QUOTE ]
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bluff rarely.

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Seems like an easy fold to me. What am I missing?

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Sample size is not very large.

baronzeus · #10 11-26-2005, 07:29 AM

whatever, you lose here a lot. its still an easy call imo...i dont know what else to say, ncray said it well..this could be a weak ace easily.