Should I bet this river?

[memphis57]

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This is bad advice IMO. You must bet here. Do you have any idea how many hands here the LP will call with that you have beat.

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You could well be right, depending upon the read. I was mainly arguing against the idea of a fold, and presented the check/call as a conservative way to not fold. Personally, I would not be uncomfortable with a bet here, again depending upon the strength of my read.

The reason I keep stressing the read is that the magnitude of your certainty required for each decision is very different between the two decisions. To go from folding to check/calling only requires a 10% chance of no flush, but to bet requires a 50% chance. But I think you're right, your typical LP at this level has less than a 50% chance of having a flush here, so bet/call is the proper decision.