Oswalt Pitch Count...

[20Five]

Does this play have any redeeming qaulities?

Oswalt Over 106 Pitches Thrown +115 (bodog internet only, $300 max bet)

Oswalt Under 104 Pitches Thrown +107 (pinny)

So basically losing if he throws 104, 105, or 106 pitches, otherwise winning small.

Is this worthwhile? [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

[MyTurn2Raise]

I like it

[whipsaw]

I definitely don't like it. You will have to be right almost 97% of the time to be profitable on this play. A quick scan of Oswalt's starts showed that he fell in the 104-106 range five times in his thirty-five starts this season. That's 14.xx%. He has also fallen in that range once out of three postseason starts. I don't think you win enough to make this bet.

[20Five]

FWIW heres Oswalts last 10 games pitching counts:

100
110
101
105
97
104
106 playoffs
108 playoffs
118 playoffs

[20Five]

[ QUOTE ]
I definitely don't like it. You will have to be right almost 97% of the time to be profitable on this play. A quick scan of Oswalt's starts showed that he fell in the 104-106 range five times in his thirty-five starts this season. That's 14.xx%. He has also fallen in that range once out of three postseason starts. I don't think you win enough to make this bet.

[/ QUOTE ]

haha you beat me to the punch whip [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img] much more dangerous then it seems

[MyTurn2Raise]

I must've misread...I thought 104 and 106 would push on one bet...oh well