Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Poker Discussion > Poker Theory
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #21  
Old 11-15-2004, 08:38 PM
CrackerZack CrackerZack is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: NY
Posts: 3,797
Default Re: What is the best theoretical number of preflop callers to AA?

[ QUOTE ]
If you mean lose money with AA, I don't know for sure, but you're probably wrong.

[/ QUOTE ]

Assuming your opponents aren't psychic and know you're doing this, he's not wrong.
Reply With Quote
  #22  
Old 11-15-2004, 09:03 PM
jeffnc jeffnc is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 75
Default Re: What is the best theoretical number of preflop callers to AA?

Depends what you mean by "theoretical". If you want to get abstract, it does have a max, but it's definitely gotta be higher than 10. For example, if you were playing from some gigantic deck of cards in a huge ring game, eventually a hand like AA isn't going to be good enough, because it can't make a straight flush (with both cards.)
Reply With Quote
  #23  
Old 11-16-2004, 05:00 AM
Lansing Lansing is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Toronto, ON
Posts: 110
Default Re: What is the best theoretical number of preflop callers to AA?

I don't know about the rest of you but I don't care much about the pot equity with AA. I just want to win the godamn pot, because it's such a hard hand to get away from and it comes around so rarely--it's a highly psychologically difficult hand to play correctly. Ergo, I want few people in there and I don't want any fuss. It's just one pair, after all. So I prefer no more than 2-3 people in the pot with me. Any more than that and I feel extremely vulnerable with AA.
Reply With Quote
  #24  
Old 11-16-2004, 01:42 PM
JPinAZ JPinAZ is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 33
Default Re: What is the best theoretical number of preflop callers to AA?

[ QUOTE ]
For example, lets say, for the sake of argument, AA is 30 percent to win against 9 random hands and 60 percent to win against 4 random hands. Assume you can count on no limpers folding to your raise.

[/ QUOTE ]

30% of 9 will always be more than 60% of 4.
Reply With Quote
  #25  
Old 11-16-2004, 03:37 PM
Diboss Diboss is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 13
Default Re: What is the best theoretical number of preflop callers to AA?

Abdul Jalib stated that AA is worth about 4BB. It's also known to be a fairly bad idea to slowplay AA preflop, as that can lead to someone drawing 2 pair with crap on the flop, and we all know how much we can lose when 74o two-pairs on the flop and we keep pushing our AA. So the theoretical breakeven point would be to raise AA preflop and as long as we receive at least 2 callers (4BB), we're still good and there's much less chance a flop like K74 rainbow will kill us as someone with 74o is unlikely to call our raise. And for the others, yes AA will beat out most hands 33% of the time, but the other 66% of the time, it will lose more than twice as much money as it wins that one time. I have no empirical proof of this though, anyone willing to run a simulation would be nice.
Reply With Quote
  #26  
Old 11-16-2004, 08:05 PM
ddubois ddubois is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 97
Default Re: What is the best theoretical number of preflop callers to AA?

22
Reply With Quote
  #27  
Old 11-16-2004, 10:22 PM
RJT RJT is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2004
Posts: 111
Default Re: What is the best theoretical number of preflop callers to AA?

Perhaps, your question needs to be restated. The answer is simple even to a beginner like me. You have the best starting hand. You want as much money is in ASAP. The question I think you might really be asking is (and I have the same quesion) how many do you want after that? Of course, it depends on the flop, etc. But it is a general question you are asking as I understand it.
Reply With Quote
  #28  
Old 11-17-2004, 02:10 AM
maurile maurile is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2003
Posts: 95
Default Re: What is the best theoretical number of preflop callers to AA?

Opponents, percentage won, estimated pot equity (assuming same number of bets per player):
1 85.3 1.704
2 73.4 2.202
3 63.9 2.556
4 55.9 2.795
5 49.2 2.952
6 43.6 3.052
7 38.8 3.104
8 34.7 3.123
9 31.1 3.110
Reply With Quote
  #29  
Old 11-17-2004, 04:19 AM
TripleH68 TripleH68 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Ohio
Posts: 390
Default Re: What is the best theoretical number of preflop callers to AA?

Here is a gut answer for you, not a statistical answer.

If I raise UTG with AA I am happy to see 2 or 3 callers, very happy to see a 3 bet/cap. With 4 or more callers I get a little uneasy.
Reply With Quote
  #30  
Old 11-17-2004, 06:06 AM
senjitsu senjitsu is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 33
Default Re: What is the best theoretical number of preflop callers to AA?

You know, aside from mine, thats the first sensible post ive seen on this topic. I would still agrue for less than 8, because i think the same number of bets per player assumption skews the results a little, as well as the fact that the chart assumes random hands (i assume) rather than likely callers (note that the edge between 6 and 8 callers is pretty thin).


[ QUOTE ]
Opponents, percentage won, estimated pot equity (assuming same number of bets per player):
1 85.3 1.704
2 73.4 2.202
3 63.9 2.556
4 55.9 2.795
5 49.2 2.952
6 43.6 3.052
7 38.8 3.104
8 34.7 3.123
9 31.1 3.110

[/ QUOTE ]
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 08:46 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.