I thought this hand was extremely easy... - Page 3

durron597 · #21 08-10-2005, 04:30 PM

[ QUOTE ]
you are 46.5% to win here

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Hm. I didn't realize that adding the overpairs (even as a small % of his range) subtracted so much of my equity. I thought it was closer to an exactly even coinflip.

[ QUOTE ]
The fact that the blinds go up next hand makes me less inclined to push here,

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Yes, but my FE sucks when I have 800 chips and the blinds are 75/150 (1.5 orbits from now). Of course it would be worse with 500 chips but a lot better with 1300. Maybe I'm overestimating how much better 1300 is than 800?

schwza · #22 08-10-2005, 05:10 PM

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It's +EV in terms of chips,

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there's no way this is +EV in terms of chips. using your range, hero is 46.5%. when the blinds fold, hero has a 46.5% chance to win a total of 965, for an ev of 449. he's putting in 445. even if the blinds only play AA/KK, i'm sure that's enough to cost hero a lot more than 4 chips.

i hate this play.

OP wrote something like "if i lose, i'm not in much worse shape than if i fold."

huh? it's way better to have 10.75x than 6.3x at 50/100. for one thing, at 10.75x you can fold your blinds, see the blinds go up, and still have good FE.

Maulik · #23 08-10-2005, 05:34 PM

btw I'm probably mucking 44 w/ t480 and blinds of 25/50. I'm not sure where I start making calls for all my chips or pushing to isolate...

bigt439 · #24 08-10-2005, 05:57 PM

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if I lose I'm still basically in as bad shape as I was before.

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Were you exaggerating to make a point? This doesn't make any sense.

durron597 · #25 08-10-2005, 06:09 PM

Alright, you guys have convinced me. Maybe I thought it was easy at the time because of tilt from a hand or two previous.

He had AQ, blinds folded and I held up.

The Yugoslavian · #26 08-10-2005, 06:15 PM

Ummm....

Yeah....

Ummm....

Your stack isn't short.

Your hand isn't good.

Your play is bad.

I'm not even going to try to 'cheer' you up this time. No positive reinforcement for you!

Ha!

Yugoslav

MegaBet · #27 08-10-2005, 08:04 PM

Just seen this...eugh!

I call out fishes in chat with plays like this [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

fnord_too · #28 08-10-2005, 08:10 PM

Most suited connectors are also favored over baby pairs. That takes a bite out of your equity. (e.g. 9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]t [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] is 53:47 favorite over the red threes.)