Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > Tournament Poker > One-table Tournaments
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #21  
Old 12-07-2005, 02:51 PM
z32fanatic z32fanatic is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 38
Default Re: (LC) $109 ITM - what would you need to call here?

After reading I have questioned whether it is right to call with AK or JJ. This is because if you fold, you'll have 2600/7400 and I think you'll win 1/4 of the time (maybe you don't agree with that, i'm just ballparking). So let's say you call with JJ and have ~60% equity in the pot because they had Ax and 55 or something. This means that you win the tourney 60% of the time, receiving $500. The other 40% you're out because you are the short stack and get $200. This gives you ~$380 expected value by calling if I calculated it correctly. If you fold, you get $300 3/4ths of the time and $500 1/4th of the time. This gives you $350 of expected value by folding.

If you take into account that sometimes one of them has 2 overs to your JJ, and occasionally they have QQ+, I think it's pretty close. AK is a definite fold because it is only 35% against our example Ax and 66 and has an expected value of around $300. I would probably call with JJ because gambling is fun and fold AK (even though I would hate folding it). If anyone finds anything wrong in my calculations, feel free to tear them apart.
Reply With Quote
 


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 11:13 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.