Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > Tournament Poker > Multi-table Tournaments

Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 12-11-2005, 08:54 PM
EverettKings EverettKings is offline
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Williamsburg, VA
Posts: 86
Default Re: Tourney hand

OK this is a little math problem.

You're risking 30k to win at most 7500, but the all in fellow probably has you beat a little bit (20% or so) of the time, so let's say if everyone folds your equity is 6000. If you check assume MP checks and your equity is like 3000.

If you get called by air its basically a push (though you win a few chips if only one guy calls with air). We can almost throw these cases out, but he has to fold air often enough for you to make up the 30k you lose the few times you're beat. Since you're risking 30k to win 3k, he has to fold air 10 times as often as he has a better hand. For example, he has a hand 5% of the time but folds air 80% of the time, then it's profitable. But if he has a hand like 10% of the time, then no matter how often they fold air it's no good.

I personally think you run into a wussily played overpair like 15% of the time. And I think air folds like 80% of the time. The bottom line is that I think you run into a hand too often, but that's the grey area thats up for discussion.

Reply With Quote

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:45 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2022, vBulletin Solutions Inc.