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  #11  
Old 12-07-2005, 05:10 PM
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Default Re: How Winrate Affects Downswings/Breakeven Stretches

There was a guy running 3BB/100 who had a 700+BB downswing. Cant remember the thread but it was quite interesting since he later continued his domination at 3BB/100.
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  #12  
Old 12-07-2005, 06:00 PM
Glenn Glenn is offline
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Default Re: How Winrate Affects Downswings/Breakeven Stretches

I said relative ease [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]. You basically create a random result for each hour based on win rate and SD, then you simulate a random player's results for x hours. Then you repeat that for a large number of players and pick out the necessary data. Homer made a spreadsheet (and posted it) a while ago that did this for one player over x hours. This could be expanded to give results for many players.
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  #13  
Old 12-07-2005, 06:01 PM
Glenn Glenn is offline
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Default Re: How Winrate Affects Downswings/Breakeven Stretches

Oh I should also mention this is all kind of pointless because you never know what your win rate is, especially in the future.
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  #14  
Old 12-07-2005, 09:17 PM
brick brick is offline
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Default Re: How Winrate Affects Downswings/Breakeven Stretches

I posted that spreadsheet here:
http://help_please1.tripod.com/
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  #15  
Old 12-07-2005, 09:48 PM
mike l. mike l. is offline
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Default Re: How Winrate Affects Downswings/Breakeven Stretches

patron is my favorite tequila
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