#1
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PP15: passive play with a strong hand
i am villain in this hand. hero probably has no stats on me as im on a new screen name for these limits.
hero is 17/10/2.2 after 11k hands with a winrate of 2.2BB/100. hero is AJo UTG hero raises, folded to the BB who 3bets, hero calls. Flop: A rag rag rainbow. villain bets, hero calls Turn: rag villain bets, hero calls River: rag villain bets, hero calls |
#2
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Re: PP15: passive play with a strong hand
Hero played perfectly.
-Michael |
#3
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Re: PP15: passive play with a strong hand
Standard wa/wb.
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#4
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Re: PP15: passive play with a strong hand
isnt a river raise for value good poker? folding to a 3bet should be easy.
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#5
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Re: PP15: passive play with a strong hand
Let's start working on analysis of that idea of raising the river. Intuitively I don't like it.
I don't know what your 3-betting standards are here. Maybe: AA - 1 AK - 8 AQ - 8 KK - 6 QQ - 6 JJ - 6 TT - 6 I also don't know if you'll lead all streets with TT/JJ but they should be discounted some as you might not. Let's discount them to, say, 3 each. Hero is ahead of 18 combos and behind 17. 18/35 = 51% so Hero isn't ahead often enough for a raise to be profitable. Maybe you 3-bet 99 preflop or maybe you won't lead all streets with QQ. I don't know, but what I've done seems like a fairly sensible start. |
#6
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Re: PP15: passive play with a strong hand
There are only 3 combos of JJ to begin with.
Another reason not to raise the river is you're not gonna be ahead anywhere near 50% when villain calls it. For instance the hands that are questionable he even holds, 99-JJ, are not often calling a river raise. |
#7
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Re: PP15: passive play with a strong hand
[ QUOTE ]
There are only 3 combos of JJ to begin with. [/ QUOTE ] Thanks. [ QUOTE ] Another reason not to raise the river is you're not gonna be ahead anywhere near 50% when villain calls it. For instance the hands that are questionable he even holds, 99-JJ, are not often calling a river raise. [/ QUOTE ] Yes, that's essentially why raising is intuitively not correct. |
#8
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Re: PP15: passive play with a strong hand
I think hero has to consider folding the river. Raising looks insane to me, he's losing that second bet a pretty heavy amount of time it gets called.
-Michael |
#9
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Re: PP15: passive play with a strong hand
[ QUOTE ]
Hero played perfectly. -Michael [/ QUOTE ] Yup Krishan |
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