Marginal hand #5 Flush draw turns sour

[Shillx]

You will make money after the flop if you hit a flush draw provided that a lot of people see the flop. You are making some money on all the flop betting provided that 3 other people are in the pot (I say this because you can sometimes make a flush and still lose to a bigger flush or a house or whatever). You also have the luxury of being able to skip a round of betting (the river) when you don't make the flush, and using that final round to collect when it comes in. So when you flop a flush draw, the only time that you lose money is when you miss on 4th street and have to pay to see the river. Let's just say that 4 people are in the pot and one bet goes in on each street no matter what. Let's also assume that you will win 85% of the time that you end up making a flush. Is this is a good spot for you?

EV = -1.5BB*.65 - 2.5BB*.35*.15 + 7.5BB*.35*.85 = + 1.13 BB/Hand

Looks good to me.

Brad

[irishpint]

f0ld