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#21
09-19-2005, 08:38 PM
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Re: 10/20: blind defense round 5, part 1 - 33
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Additionally, it is doubtful IMO that he would continuation-bet this river which brings in quite a few draws (straight, flush, overcards...). At this point he's expecting me to call after I have quickly called the flop + turn, so his river bet is a value-bet [/ QUOTE ] Therein lies the flaw of your reasoning. [/ QUOTE ] I think you may be overestimating the frequency with which these players bluff bet all 3 streets on a dangerous board. The K makes me more likely to call, not less. Surf 
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#22
09-19-2005, 08:39 PM
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Re: 10/20: blind defense round 5, part 1 - 33
yes, the k should make you less likely to call, but you still should call. I think you are underestimating the times this river bet is a bluff. He knows the K is a scary card, why would he stop bluffing now?? Sometimes this bet will be Ax as well, and these guys are sometimes thinking its a bluff, sometimes thinking its for value, sometimes just angry and hitting bet. I'd be very surprised if you weren't good here 1 in 7.
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