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#11
03-08-2005, 06:04 PM
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Re: 2 Super Monday Hands
[ QUOTE ]
hand 2: BB can be on a lot of hands here. He was getting almost 4 to 1 on his call. I'd say an ace is certainly possible, but not nearly automatic. All in all, I think that BB has a very low chance of having an ace here [/ QUOTE ] Make up your mind. Personally, I think the chance of a big stack in a Super holding A3o here is high enough to check with *any* pair. 
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#12
03-08-2005, 06:11 PM
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Re: 2 Super Monday Hands
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] hand 2: BB can be on a lot of hands here. He was getting almost 4 to 1 on his call. I'd say an ace is certainly possible, but not nearly automatic. All in all, I think that BB has a very low chance of having an ace here [/ QUOTE ] Make up your mind. Personally, I think the chance of a big stack in a Super holding A3o here is high enough to check with *any* pair. [/ QUOTE ] What about suited or unsuited connectors, suited 1 or 2 gappers, small pp's looking for a set, KQo or KJo looking to hit the flop hard? Many more combinations than just Ax.
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#13
03-08-2005, 08:04 PM
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Re: 2 Super Monday Hands
If he has any of those he has anywhere from 0-6 outs. I have no problem giving him as many as the full 6.
BTW, the other reason to check is that the short stack is going to push like 80% of the time.
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#14
03-08-2005, 08:32 PM
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Re: 2 Super Monday Hands
You are probably behind in this hand, no doubt.
I believe you are much more likely to be behind short-stack than BB. Given that you intend to call short-stacks push anyway, why not push yourself and maybe (<5%) get a better hand (JJ) to fold, but definitely get 2 hands that can outdraw you to fold?
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#15
03-09-2005, 01:03 PM
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Results
Hand 1: I was pretty sure pushing was the only option and you guys verified that. I lost to AA.
Hand 2: I checked the flop, the turn was something like a 7, the big stack bet, and I folded. Ugh. Then later on my A5o all in ran into A5s and I flamed out [img]/images/graemlins/crazy.gif[/img] Thanks for the responses.
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#16
03-09-2005, 01:10 PM
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Re: Results
[ QUOTE ]
Hand 2: I checked the flop, the turn was something like a 7, the big stack bet, and I folded. [/ QUOTE ] That was actually something I wanted to get to but didn't have time to respond with yesterday. The danger of the turn being checked thru then the big stack firing out a bet no matter what hits the turn. You have absolutely no idea where you stand at that point. I think he bought it and now I'm convinced more than ever that pushing is the right play IF you plan to call short-stack's push otherwise. No way I give big-stack credit for an ace that easily here.
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