Ballsy Hand with Sevens....

[JEM7VSBL]

MP3 is 18.44%/9.93/1.47 after 150 hands. i've played with him many times before and figured him for a steal.

SB is 16%/1%/1 after 100 hands.

Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: JEM is Button with 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG folds, UTG+1 folds, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, <font color="#CC3333">MP3 raises</font>, CO folds, <font color="#CC3333">JEM 3-bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB caps</font>, BB folds, MP3 calls, JEM calls.

Flop: (13 SB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, MP3 calls, JEM calls.

Turn: (8 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, MP3 checks, <font color="#CC3333">JEM bets</font>, SB calls, MP3 folds.

River: (10 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">JEM bets</font>, SB folds.

Final Pot: 11 BB

too dangerous to bet the turn here, or would this be too dependent on player reads? i'm not sure whether this was just getting lucky from uncontrolled aggression, or was i really betting the best hand?

[Lurker4]

PF is good given your read, but once SB caps, with his numbers I'd be afraid of a bigger PP and at best AK. Flop call is ok closing action w/something like 2.5 outs and getting 15:1 w/implied odds. I'd check behind on the turn. w/SB's low aggression and PF cap, I'm guessing he slowed down w/QQ/TT. Check behind on the river too. You're bet isn't for value, and I don't think you'd be able to fold a better hand. w/SB having only a 1% PFR I can't even think of what he'd have here. AQ? everything else worthy of a PF cap is calling you I'd think.