Flopped set, flushed river

bizaff · #1 12-05-2005, 10:31 PM

Villain is 20/7.5/2.5 over 40 hands.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) converter

Hero ($104.90)
Button ($158.05)
SB ($105.70)
BB ($27.15)
UTG ($100.50)
UTG+1 ($100)
MP1 ($150.20)
MP2 ($132.65)
MP3 ($99)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $1, 2 folds, MP3 calls $1, Hero calls $1, 2 folds, BB checks.

Flop: ($4.50) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (4 players)
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, MP3 bets $4, Hero raises to $15, BB folds, UTG+1 folds, MP3 calls $11.

Turn: ($34.50) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP3 bets $10, Hero raises to $40, MP3 calls $30.

River: ($114.50) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP3 bets $43 (All-In), Hero...?

My main issue is the dorky turn raise - I need to push here I think.. anything bigger doesn't leave enough on the end to matter, anything smaller is losing value and giving odds.

As played, do I call the river?

Feel free to comment on all streets.

4_2_it · #2 12-05-2005, 10:33 PM

Looks like you figured it out. Get it in on the turn. Yes, make the crying call, you hand will be good more often then you think.

Reef · #3 12-06-2005, 01:05 AM

looks like A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]X[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. I say call the river because you only have to be right less than 25% of the time.

However, I'd consider over-betting on the turn since you should have basically known his hand. Make it like $55 or $60. I don't think he gets away from it and you have at least 80% pot equity.

bizaff · #4 12-06-2005, 01:33 AM

I think you're both very correct.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) converter

Hero ($104.90)
Button ($158.05)
SB ($105.70)
BB ($27.15)
UTG ($100.50)
UTG+1 ($100)
MP1 ($150.20)
MP2 ($132.65)
MP3 ($99)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $1, 2 folds, MP3 calls $1, Hero calls $1, 2 folds, BB checks.

Flop: ($4.50) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (4 players)
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, MP3 bets $4, Hero raises to $15, BB folds, UTG+1 folds, MP3 calls $11.

Turn: ($34.50) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP3 bets $10, Hero raises to $40, MP3 calls $30.

River: ($114.50) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
MP3 bets $43 (All-In), Hero calls $43.

Final Pot: $200.50

Results:
MP3 has Ah 5h (flush, ace high).
Hero has 7h 7d (three of a kind, sevens).
Outcome: MP3 wins $200.50.

kamjah · #5 12-06-2005, 01:40 AM

man, i hate when that happens, a fish on a draw catches his pair and suddently thinks hes got the nuts and won't let go. not that him calling your turn re-raise was a bad thing, but its unfortunate that he hit.

bizaff · #6 12-06-2005, 01:43 AM

I don't mind so much so long as he misses the flush [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] oh well, my bad for not pushing the turn - then great if he folds, great if he calls.

kamjah · #7 12-06-2005, 01:47 AM

yeah its allways unfortunate when a set played correctly goes wrong like that. you have villain making so many profitable mistakes for you then he catches his money card. happens to the best of us

wdeadwyler · #8 12-06-2005, 02:55 AM

[ QUOTE ]
I don't mind so much so long as he misses the flush [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] oh well, my bad for not pushing the turn - then great if he folds, great if he calls.

[/ QUOTE ]

Turn push=bad, just pot it, or if you must 1.25-1.5 pot it, then get the rest in on river.

bizaff · #9 12-06-2005, 11:46 AM

I'm not overbetting for the sake of overbetting - I'm "overbetting" based on stack size. After his $10 bet on the turn, we each have about $75 and the pot is $45. A pot sized raise is $55 from me, leaving only $20 behind - I may as well get it all in.