76s near the bubble

[Rooger]

10$ tournament on PokerChamps - 28 players left, money for the first 18.
Blinds are 300/600, ante 50 - my stack is around 6500, BB has me covered, MP has slightly less than me, and button has me covered.

I pick up 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] in the SB. MP & button limps, i complete (occasionally I like to play suited connectors at this point of the tourney, and I need to call 300 in a 2700 pot).

The flop comes 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

I check, BB & MP checks, and button bets 3000.
Button has been playing quite loose - I put him on Kx, perhaps Ax (with so many passive players in front of him, and the big stack, it's a perfect time for a steal).

Do you push? Fold? If I call, I'm pot committed, and will probably end up putting all my chips in anyway, so I guess it's a push or a fold.

If he has a king, my 15 outs will let me win 55% of the time - he could have a set of 8's or 9's, but the size of the bet makes me think he doesn't have it.

What is your action?

[locutus2002]

Just call.

All you're chips are going in eventually, so try and get another caller. If you make your hand its going to be good anyhow.

[TheTimeIsUp]

Push. By choosing not to lead out, you are doing a check/raise. So do it.

[locutus2002]

Don't push. Button is loose and you want as many callers as you can get.

[Rooger]

But which hands besides me would call, who wouldn't bet preflop? It's unlikely that there are other draws like mine out there.
If he's trying to buy the pot, I he might fold to a reraise.

[betgo]

At this stage, I would push. Early in a low buyin tournament with loose play, you could call and hope to get other callers.

[locutus2002]

If he bet he has something, and getting great odds to call with it. He wins if hero doesnt' improve.

[TheTimeIsUp]

[ QUOTE ]
Don't push. Button is loose and you want as many callers as you can get.

[/ QUOTE ]

I PROMISE you, whoever would call an all in would be the same people that would call if he merely called. Trust me.

[Rooger]

I'm a little below average, so I need to make some chips at a point.
The question is, if this is the time to do it - if he has a king, I'm still 55% favorite, so I'm not way ahead.
I certainly need to improve to win the hand, and I'm not comfortable risking the tournament on a draw.

But if I push, I will put 6000 chips in a pot on totally 15000 (given he calls me), so the odds are good for me.
At the same time a push gives me a small fold equity, if he's on a steal.

[kasey2004]

[ QUOTE ]
Push. By choosing not to lead out, you are doing a check/raise. So do it.

[/ QUOTE ]

my exact thoughts...

[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Kasey [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]