Can someone tell me

Buckmulligan · #1 11-08-2005, 08:52 PM

the chance (based on your .5/1 data) how often we can expect a 120 BB downswing?

benkath1 · #2 11-08-2005, 08:57 PM

never.

Sorry, I guess I'm one of the lucky ones not to have a >100bb downswing. I'm sure mines coming though. And I may quit poker when it does. [img]/images/graemlins/crazy.gif[/img]

milesdyson · #3 11-08-2005, 09:05 PM

i have a 120 bb downswing every time i have a 50 bb downswing, because i just tilt the rest away. so based on my stats, i have one about every ten thousand hands.

you should probably hit a true 120 downer once every 40-50k hands i'd guess?

bottomset · #4 11-08-2005, 09:08 PM

i don't think i ever had one when i played the game serious, and the 100BB would mean something big to me

i did just lose 140BB in 450 hands before vegas, but now it doesn't mean much to me

I only played 8k or so before moving up

numeri · #5 11-08-2005, 10:53 PM

What is your standard deviation, and over how many hands is the downswing?

detruncate · #6 11-09-2005, 12:10 AM

They happen. I played just under 100K .5/1 hands and had several. Three 100+ BB downswings in just over 2 weeks once during a 20k flat spell if I remember correctly.

They'll happen as often as they happen. Doesn't make much sense to worry about it.

Buckmulligan · #7 11-09-2005, 04:00 AM

I am not downswinging. Some of my buddies have contributed 120$ to my poker account and the winnings I bring in from it go to alcohol. I was trying to evaluate the risk involved in going into .5/1 with that roll and losing it all. I dont have my .5/1 data, or enough data from any limit to give a reliable standard deviation, that's why I asked for someone elses.

Weatherhead03 · #8 11-09-2005, 04:23 AM

Depends a lot on your winrate and SD

#9 11-09-2005, 05:23 AM

[ QUOTE ]
I am not downswinging. Some of my buddies have contributed 120$ to my poker account and the winnings I bring in from it go to alcohol. I was trying to evaluate the risk involved in going into .5/1 with that roll and losing it all. I dont have my .5/1 data, or enough data from any limit to give a reliable standard deviation, that's why I asked for someone elses.

[/ QUOTE ]

best idea evar?

detruncate · #10 11-09-2005, 06:01 AM

Mine was in the 17s (SD/100).