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  #1  
Old 12-19-2005, 03:03 PM
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Default nice Bowmans/xxxxxx middle

NBA

Sac -2.5 -110 (regular sportsbook price)
Char +4 -110 (Bowmans)

I show this as, at worst, zero EV as long as you pay -116 or better on the Sacramento -2.5 side paired with Char +4 -110.
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  #2  
Old 12-19-2005, 03:25 PM
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Default Re: nice Bowmans/xxxxxx middle

Also, decent Pinny/Bowmans middle or scalp on Orl -8.5 +103 (Pinny) and Tor +9 -110 (Bowmans)
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  #3  
Old 12-19-2005, 04:55 PM
dankhank dankhank is offline
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Default Re: nice Bowmans/xxxxxx middle

it's funny, i nearly made a post on this middle, asking how i was supposed to calculate whether it was +EV or not.

however i thought the better middle was -2 -116 at skybook with +4 -110. i was hoping there was a shorthanded way to calculate it. i guess if you say it is close to neutral EV, then my non-mathematical estimate of it being neutral was good.

the calculating of middle value when connected to large juice is weird though
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  #4  
Old 12-19-2005, 05:31 PM
playersare playersare is offline
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Default Re: nice Bowmans/xxxxxx middle

for most pro sports, you can use the pulldown menus on pinnacle to see what different points are worth when buying or selling. NBA half points can be worth anywhere from 5-12c in either direction, but as a general guideline, if you can get within 5-10c per half point between two spreads, or just see that buying or selling on pinnacle creates a scalp on a single number, then it's probably a profitable middle in the long run. less than 5c per half point is excellent.

I'd estimate that the Sacramento line is worth approximately -4 +115. the list price at Bowmans to buy down a point and a half would result in -2.5 -140, so you're basically getting 25 cents discount, which theoretically offsets the 20 cents juice you're laying to hit the 3 to win 200, plus the 10 cents to win 100 on the 4. the Orlando game is worth -9 +113.
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  #5  
Old 12-19-2005, 05:34 PM
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Default Re: nice Bowmans/xxxxxx middle

-2 -116 is very nice indeed
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