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Re: Difficult AQ hand...maybe?
Ok. I’m not sure if this is what you are talking about but I will try. If hero pots the flop there will be $1K in the pot with $1100 left.
With 14 outs hero’s equity is 32% if he goes all in and MP calls = autopush. Let’s be more pessimistic. Sometimes hero will be drawing dead, sometimes a Q will be good. 11 outs on average. 25% equity when called. Using this formula: F = (B - E) / (Pf - E) where F = break-even probability of opponent folding B = amount of hero's bet (or, if raising, amount of call + raise) Pf = pot size when opponent folds, including hero's last bet E = equity in pot when called (in terms of $s, not %) ) E = $3200 * 0.25 = $800 F = (1100-800) / (2100-800) = 23 % If MP folds 23 % hero breaks even. Still an easy decision with AZK’s read. |
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