MLB 4/3

[Vince Young]

Cincinatti +140

ytd 0-0

[BaronVonCP]

any reasoning? Sorry to be annoying, i'm just trying to learn how I need to think about these sorts of things.

[VinnyTheFish]

IMO, it is a favorable play because:
1) Home dog on opening day.
2) Mets are a popular favorite. I love betting against the puplic.

[JupiterUWG]

Instead of starting a new thread...i'm taking 4 games tomorrow

Oakland +105
Philly -130
Cincy +140
Milwaukee +110

[Vince Young]

I also think Pedro is getting too favorable of a price against a very powerful left-handed lineup. The Reds' offense is great when healthy, and I expect them to win if they can get to that shaky bullpen.

[The13atman]

[ QUOTE ]
Milwaukee +110

[/ QUOTE ]

Good bet.

[LLXC]

I'm playing Pittsburg, which means Milwaukee will win.

[mrbaseball]

To me the opening day board looks pretty crappy. Then again I put a lot of emphasis on current form making the early days of the season more challenging. Therefore early on I take more of a macro approach based on last season.

I'm making 2 small, high percentage type plays today primarily based on last years performances and records. Maybe laying a little more juice than I like but the prices look like they have some edge.

Tampa Bay +1.5 runs at -145 over Toronto
Toronto only won 50 games by more than one run last year. That's only 31% of their games last season. TB either won or lost by only one 89 times or 55% of the time. I'm not sold that Halladay is back 100% yet and the loss of Delgado is a huge chunk of the Jays offense. I see some value here.

Minnesota +1.5 runs -215 over Seattle
I love winning teams plus runs coupled with losing teams minus runs. Seattle only won 43 games by more than one run last year. That's a dismal 26% of the time! Minny won or only lost by one 108 times or 66% of the time. -215 is a lot to lay but I think it covers more often than that.

I think both of the plays have some edge, hopefully they will come in for me [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[MarkL444]

Ive decided to try to take betting seriously this season and see how well I can do. Ill post my picks until I either get bored or realize I suck. Here's todays:

CIN +142
MIL +118
DET -1.5 +120
(YTD 0-0)

Curious about thoughs on that DET run line. It seems like a good bet to me, but I don't see a lot of talk about run lines around here so I'm wondering if they are something not really worth doing.

edit- and its the 4th [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

[mrbaseball]

[ QUOTE ]
Curious about thoughs on that DET run line

[/ QUOTE ]

I play a lot of runlines but almost never give the runs and I never give them and lay juice on top of it. I don't like this bet myself.

Detroit only won 60 games by more than one run last year. That's only 37% of the time and now you have to lay -120 that they will do it today? I don't like it at all.

In your favor KC sucks and is maybe the weakest team out there. Last year they won or lost by one only 77 times or 48% of the time. Plus Lima is a complete bum. Even though I think you need a lot more than -120 to make this play but since I'm not on either side I hope it comes in for you.