Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 05-07-2005, 11:05 PM
Jeff W Jeff W is offline
Member
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 85
Default Poker Combinatorics.

Can anyone link me to a web page or post w/ a crash course/refresher on poker combinatorics?
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 05-07-2005, 11:27 PM
Jeff W Jeff W is offline
Member
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 85
Default Re: Poker Combinatorics.

P.S. My main goal is to evaluate opponent's hand range.

i.e. Opponent has a given hand range after he bets the river--say KK-55, AKs-A5s, AKo-A9o on an AA532 board. I have A6. How often do I have the best hand?

I'd like to be able to figure that out myself. If there are any other important combinatorics applications for hand analysis, I am interested in those as well.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 05-08-2005, 05:53 AM
imported_leader imported_leader is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Around Boston
Posts: 510
Default Re: Poker Combinatorics.

[ QUOTE ]
i.e. Opponent has a given hand range after he bets the river--say KK-55, AKs-A5s, AKo-A9o on an AA532 board. I have A6. How often do I have the best hand?

[/ QUOTE ]

Hands you beat: KK to 66 (48 combos),
Hands you have tied: A6s (1 combo)
Hands that beat you: 55 (1 combo) + AK - A9 suited or not (20 combos) + A8s - A7s (2 combos)

A5s is hard to know because it depends on the suits on the board and in your hand. For example if you know your opponent can only have the A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] and the 5 of :club is on the board then a5s is out. So I'm going to amend your range to exclude A5s.

Therefore, you are 48-72-1. You will win about 40% of the time.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 05-08-2005, 06:24 AM
sirio11 sirio11 is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: El Paso, TX
Posts: 11
Default Re: Poker Combinatorics.

I think you're better off using PokerStove.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 05-08-2005, 07:00 AM
Jeff W Jeff W is offline
Member
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 85
Default Re: Poker Combinatorics.

[ QUOTE ]
I think you're better off using PokerStove.

[/ QUOTE ]

Nah. Pokerstove tells me how often I'm winning and in this example it's sufficient. However, in a more complicated situation, I need to know how often I'm winning and will be called.

I also can't manually weight hand ranges with pokerstove:

I estimate that this player raises 66 UTG 1/2 the time. Therefore, 66 is part of his hand range--but it is weighted to be a smaller component than it would be in pokerstove.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 05-08-2005, 07:05 AM
Jeff W Jeff W is offline
Member
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 85
Default Re: Poker Combinatorics.

[ QUOTE ]
Hands that beat you: 55 (1 combo)...

[/ QUOTE ]

With 1 5 on the board, why aren't there 3 combinations that beat me?

for example with 5d on board:

5c5h
5c5s
5h5s

I know basically how to calculate this stuff, I was hoping that someone could point me to a post that goes over all the shortcuts.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 05-08-2005, 10:58 AM
goodguy_1 goodguy_1 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 1,028
Default Re: Poker Combinatorics.

ZeeJustin made a similar inquiry here: Looking for Software to do Simulations
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 05-08-2005, 06:20 PM
imported_leader imported_leader is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Around Boston
Posts: 510
Default Re: Poker Combinatorics.

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Hands that beat you: 55 (1 combo)...

[/ QUOTE ]

With 1 5 on the board, why aren't there 3 combinations that beat me?

for example with 5d on board:

5c5h
5c5s
5h5s

I know basically how to calculate this stuff, I was hoping that someone could point me to a post that goes over all the shortcuts.

[/ QUOTE ]

opps [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 05-09-2005, 01:02 AM
NLSoldier NLSoldier is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: St. Cloud, MN
Posts: 91
Default Re: Poker Combinatorics.

I'm interested in this too. Does a site like this exist?
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 05-10-2005, 05:28 AM
The Dude The Dude is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: My new favorite people to hate: Angels fans.
Posts: 582
Default Re: Poker Combinatorics.

What are you doing in this forum? Get your ass back to OOT and quit clogging the real forums.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 06:29 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.