Hollywood Park 20-40... i like donk betting

[elysium]

hi smurf

you are a little better off check-calling the river. the rest of the hand is fine.

the problem with betting out on the river is that while you may have a value bet by the narrowest margin, you don't relish calling a raise by the UTG. the idea is that you have a better chance of winning on the river by calling the UTG river bet than by calling his raise, even though he will raise or bet with the same hand. now this opens the door for the button to betout on the river, which hurts you. that risk, though, is minimal here since the UTG is much more likely to betout with the button calling. it looks as though the UTG has missed, and the button has the A high. of course, if you thought that you were trailing the button, you should then betout if there was some chance that the UTG would raise out the button, but that's likely.

go ahead and let the UTG bluff at it, and call down 1 bet. if the button betsout, oh well. you'll have to hope you're saving a bet.