River bet for value against aggressive steal

Tom Martell · #1 02-03-2005, 11:24 PM

BB is 40/0 fish, and villain is 30/20. He's also aggressive post flop.

Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is SB with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG calls, 5 folds, Button villain raises, Hero 3-bets, BB calls, UTG folds, Button villain calls.

Wasn't sure what range of hands to place him on, as this could be a steal with any 2.

Flop: (10 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets, BB calls, villain raises, Hero 3-bets, BB folds, villain caps, Hero calls.

Now I'm obviously worried about 77, but he'd play any A, especially AK or AQ, like this as well.

Turn: (9.50 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets, villain raises, Hero calls.

Getting scared off by the potential of his set, but not sold on it.

River: (13.50 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets, villain raises, Hero calls.

Is this hand strong enough against his range of holdings to value bet this river, or am I most likely up against a set here?

Final Pot: 17.50 BB

me454555 · #2 02-04-2005, 12:12 AM

1) This is NOT a steal, there was an UTG limper

2) I don't like your preflop play as AJo may not be ahead and I'd want to keep the fishy BB in the hand as well. I'd probobly just call this here

3) 3 bet the turn check call the river if he caps you. I'm not convince he has AA b/c he didn't cap pf. 77 is posible but its more likely he's a LAG w/AK or AQ A7 is also a posibility if hes a true maniac.

Brainwalter · #3 02-04-2005, 01:07 AM

If you think you're ahead 3 bet the turn. If not don't bet the river. Stop and going like this wins you less when you're ahead and loses more when behind

Tom Martell · #4 02-04-2005, 03:09 AM

that makes sense. thanks for the feedback.