odds of bears / vikings winning nfc north

[gomberg]

I've been thinking about this a little bit - what are the odds that the bears / vikings win the NFC north?

They're only 1 game back (vikings, that is), but w/ the tie-breakers, it's closer to 2 games back. What % of the time will this happen?

[McGahee]

[ QUOTE ]
I've been thinking about this a little bit - what are the odds that the bears / vikings win the NFC north?

They're only 1 game back (vikings, that is), but w/ the tie-breakers, it's closer to 2 games back. What % of the time will this happen?

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm not going to just throw out a random %, but lets just say the Vikings win the rematch in the dome (they'll probably be a slight favorite). If the Bears lose in GB, then Minn. gets the tiebreaker because they would be 5-1 in the division vs. 4-2.