Value Raise this River? Commerce 10/20

[cwl]

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The only reason that I wouldn't raise here would be that if I show that I'm not raising top two on the river in this spot, I'd be able to bluff him off any river I feel like unless he has the nuts. That just doesn't seem worth the extra $1K you could make here.

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its a bit of a tangent to the hand but i thought your comment touched on a somewhat interesting point. i think not raising here indicates that the hero may be unwilling to make marginal value raises. this is not at all the same thing as indicating hero will not bluff raise the river. in some circumstances this can make it easier to call a river raise because if you know its either the nuts or a bluff its pretty hard to make the nuts so that leaves a decent chance of a bluff. all the marginal value raises are not included in the range of potential raising hands.