#1
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River bet with set
Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (8 handed)
I feel like the other streets are routine. Wondering if this is a check/fold on the river though... Heads up I feel better about betting out with 4 flush on the board when i'm not in position... but what about 3 person? Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. UTG calls, UTG+1 folds, MP1 calls, Hero calls, CO calls, Button calls, SB folds, BB checks. Flop: (6.50 SB) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(6 players)</font> BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="CC3333">MP1 bets</font>, <font color="CC3333">Hero raises</font>, CO folds, Button calls, BB folds, UTG folds, MP1 calls. Turn: (6.25 BB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(3 players)</font> MP1 checks, <font color="CC3333">Hero bets</font>, Button calls, MP1 calls. River: (9.25 BB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(3 players)</font> MP1 checks, <font color="CC3333">Hero bets...</font> |
#2
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Re: River bet with set
i'd be more inclined to check/call here...heads up i'd bet it.
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#3
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Re: River bet with set
Isn't it better to bet the river if you are going to call anyway? This might get a weak [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] to fold. And if someone raises you, you can fold so you don't risk more than when you check/call.
I'm quite new to poker so this is more of question than an advice. |
#4
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Re: River bet with set
I think most party-players would call one bet with a weak heart here. Another problem is: if we assume that anyone of the five opponents on the flop holding a [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] would draw to the flush, we're a 11.6:1 dog here. That would make even a call slightly -EV. Of course, anyone with a single 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] or 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] would probably fold, so we're probably not that much of a dog. However, considering the probability of folding out gutshot draws, overcards (A) and perhaps a middle pair, there's no guarantee that we'll get two callers. I would say that we would have to be at least 40% favourites to win the pot to be able to bet here...
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