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Hotel California - The Eagles 105 61.76%
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  #61  
Old 05-18-2005, 12:31 PM
jon_1van jon_1van is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Silver Spring MD
Posts: 53
Default Re: Do I feel lucky?

[ QUOTE ]
it's all too easy to envision a nightmare scenario where you're stuck between pair+ and a bigger flush draw....drawing to your 2 straight flush outs.

[/ QUOTE ]

What about your regular straight outs in this case?
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  #62  
Old 05-18-2005, 01:03 PM
pooh74 pooh74 is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 316
Default Re: Do I feel lucky?

[ QUOTE ]
what makes you think someone WONT call here? i estimate a 99% chance you get called here with all the donks that play 109s. holla

[/ QUOTE ]

Thats WAY off raptor...i'd say about 97.8% chance of a call.
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  #63  
Old 05-18-2005, 01:35 PM
Newt_Buggs Newt_Buggs is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: San Diego, the $50s
Posts: 760
Default Re: Do I feel lucky?

[ QUOTE ]
Truthfully, I haven't studied the numerical EV of any of these situations and am greatly relying on intuition from other forms of poker where I am far more qualified

[/ QUOTE ]
there's a good chance that you pass up a lot of +EV plays late game and you never realize it.
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