Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > Limit Texas Hold'em > Micro-Limits

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 12-31-2005, 10:58 AM
masse75 masse75 is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 0
Default 99 flops set, river gets ugly

Sticking with the MP hands, like to see your thoughts on the turn when the board gets really coordinated. And, how going heads-up changes the dynamic.

(Aside: I was glad to get away from Absolute--cashed my 200% bonus and left. Tables are WAY tight as everyone is bonus whoring).

Converted at PokerGeek
Absolute Limit Hold'em Ring - $2/$4 Stakes (8 handed)

Starting Stacks
Seat 1: Big blind ($100)
Seat 2: UTG ($107.25)
Seat 4: UTG+1 ($98.50)
Seat 5: MP (Hero) ($90.75)
Seat 6: LP ($14.75)
Seat 7: CO ($80.25)
Seat 8: Button ($74)
Seat 9: Small blind ($66.12)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, poker, UTG+1 calls, Hero raises, LP folds, CO folds, Button folds, Small blind folds, Big blind folds, UTG+1 calls

Flop: (5.50 SB) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets, UTG+1 calls

Turn: (3.75 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets, UTG+1 raises, Hero calls

River: (7.75 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG+1 bets, Hero calls

Final Pot: $37.25

Results in white below:
<font color="#FFFFFF">UTG+1 has Jc Qh (Two Pairs, queens and jacks)
MP has 9c 9d (Three of a kind, nines)

Outcome: Hero wins $37.25
</font>
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 12-31-2005, 11:13 AM
HouseCalls HouseCalls is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: New Bern, NC
Posts: 4
Default Re: 99 flops set, river gets ugly

*grunch*

Preflop / Flop - good

Turn - yuck; hate the donk bet here but I think you have to cal down. Even if you are behind you have 11 outs (unless vilain holds JJ which he sure has not acted like) to quads or a full house.

River - If villain was on a draw this card completes alot of stright draws and the flush draw. I'd say your chance of still being ahead is 25% or less; with 7.75BB in the pot you have odds to call even if your chance of winning is as low as 12%. . . call.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 12-31-2005, 11:50 AM
bozlax bozlax is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 365
Default Re: 99 flops set, river gets ugly

Looks ordinary against an unknown. Reads would change the dynamic more than being HU.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 12-31-2005, 11:52 AM
bozlax bozlax is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 365
Default Re: 99 flops set, river gets ugly

[ QUOTE ]
*grunch*

Preflop / Flop - good

Turn - yuck; hate the donk bet here but I think you have to cal down. Even if you are behind you have 11 outs (unless vilain holds JJ which he sure has not acted like) to quads or a full house.

River - If villain was on a draw this card completes alot of stright draws and the flush draw. I'd say your chance of still being ahead is 25% or less; with 7.75BB in the pot you have odds to call even if your chance of winning is as low as 12%. . . call.

[/ QUOTE ]

That's 10 outs to the boat or quads on the turn, and the second club doesn't complete any flush draws, but other than that your post is pretty good.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 12-31-2005, 12:58 PM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: 99 flops set, river gets ugly

So, on the turn we are giving villain automatic credit for KQ. We have a set, I think we have to at least consider a raise here.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 12-31-2005, 01:06 PM
bozlax bozlax is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 365
Default Re: 99 flops set, river gets ugly

[ QUOTE ]
So, on the turn we are giving villain automatic credit for KQ. We have a set, I think we have to at least consider a raise here.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'd consider it for about a second. The c/r on the turn at these limits means "you'd better be close to the nuts, 'cuz I am." UNLESS you have a read on the Villan that he'll go nutbag with TP, two-pair or some such.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 12-31-2005, 02:23 PM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: 99 flops set, river gets ugly

Played well by villian and Hero.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:27 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.