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#1
04-29-2005, 02:44 AM
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short stacked final table... 33 in BB and big action
Sorry hand converter not working for me... just wondering based on payouts of tournament you think it is worth calling here. My read on the min raiser is even keel, tries to steal to maintain stack and play big pots with big hands only. Don't have much of a read on the other player.
I'm looking for +$ev... whatever you think that means. The way it is short handed and fast action hands makes me believe they might be sharing an overcard and i'm coinflipping. Is that a strong chance? BTW this is a $5 turbo tournament... my favorite fun game [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] Payouts: 1st=822 2nd=516 3rd=341 4th=236 Hand #5668313-7 at Thu920pmA-Final (No Limit tournament Hold'em) Powered by UltimateBet Started at 28/Apr/05 23:29:02 dscglfr is at seat 0 with 140780. Mark10 is at seat 6 with 538280. westy2305 is at seat 7 with 0 (sitting out, just knocked out). hero is at seat 8 with 134985. Jack McCall is at seat 9 with 223955. The button is at seat 4. dscglfr posts ante (3000). Mark10 posts ante (3000). hero posts ante (3000). Jack McCall posts ante (3000). Mark10 posts the small blind of 15000. hero posts the big blind of 30000. dscglfr: -- -- Mark10: -- -- hero: 3s 3d Jack McCall: -- -- Pre-flop: Jack McCall raises to 60000. dscglfr goes all-in for 137780. Mark10 folds. hero folds. Jack McCall folds. dscglfr is returned 77780 (uncalled). Hand #5668313-7 Summary: No rake is taken for this hand. dscglfr wins 177000. 
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#4
04-29-2005, 01:26 PM
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Re: short stacked final table... 33 in BB and big action
Kristian - is this a case of +chip EV but -$ev?
Due to the speed of the game everyone was forced to play. It was a fast table and coinflips needed to be taken, except a coinflip between others would bump me in pay. I felt like it was a good fold, but I didn't know how to do the math to prove it. 3 to 1 on my money was very tempting to hope seeing KQ and AK flipped over
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#5
04-29-2005, 03:26 PM
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Re: short stacked final table... 33 in BB and big action
Unless you have a damn good read that the allin is a steal and the min raiser will give it up, I think it was a good fold. Hell, even if you have a good read on the above having that raiser after you is still probably enough to get me to fold (thinking along the lines of having a good read would have required similar circumstances to have played out before probably, in which case the min raise could be a setup)
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#6
04-29-2005, 05:03 PM
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Re: short stacked final table... 33 in BB and big action
i think it's a good fold. to come over the top of a raiser means there's too good of a chance for the villain (or the original raiser) to have a pair here, imo. also, you have to believe there's a very high chance the PFR calls the reraise and you get a shot to move up in the money.
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#7
04-30-2005, 06:25 AM
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Re: short stacked final table... 33 in BB and big action
[ QUOTE ]
is this a case of +chip EV but -$ev? [/ QUOTE ] I think it is EV- both ways, but even more so $$-wise. The best you can hope for is heads up against two overcards, which is about 50-50, but since there is a big risk you will be up against more than two overcards (if it is 3-way) or a pair, your chances drop radically. And this is not even considering that you could get a free bump up the money with a fold.
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