What the heck does this mean?

[jon462]

After miniraising preflop, villain bets 200 into 65 chip pot. Obviously i am not calling him without a monster made hand, so I very rarely get to see what these donks have when they make bets like this. Other than the fact that he is a complete idiot, what does this bet mean? I could see your average donk betting KQ or JJ this way, as well as a complete bluff (like A9 or AK)


#Game No : 2544686501
***** Hand History for Game 2544686501 *****
NL Texas Hold'em $30 Buy-in + $3 Entry Fee Trny:14888449 Level:1 Blinds(10/15) - Tuesday, August 16, 11:07:39 EDT 2005
Table Table 11069 (Real Money)
Seat 1 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 9: Giga_debt ( $720 )
Seat 4: NamCam111 ( $800 )
Seat 8: DobBole ( $775 )
Seat 2: Macon_Marc ( $785 )
Seat 3: blueboy3700 ( $1045 )
Seat 10: begleri ( $1200 )
Seat 5: Bolton24 ( $875 )
Seat 7: anthony26 ( $725 )
Seat 6: teamdano1 ( $215 )
Seat 1: munkyk84 ( $860 )
Trny:14888449 Level:1
Blinds(10/15)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Giga_debt [ 7s 7d ]
NamCam111 folds.
Bolton24 raises [30].
teamdano1 folds.
anthony26 folds.
DobBole folds.
Giga_debt calls [30].
>You have options at Table 11037 Table!.
begleri folds.
munkyk84 folds.
Macon_Marc folds.
blueboy3700 folds.
** Dealing Flop ** [ Td, Jc, 9c ]
Bolton24 bets [200].
Giga_debt folds.
Bolton24 does not show cards.
Bolton24 wins 285 chips
Game #2544688177 starts.

[45suited]

My guess is that he has a very strong hand (high PP, a set) and wants to charge the [censored] out of draws. He's not bluffing you, I can guarantee you that.

After a donkish mini-raise, and the overbet of this flop, I wouldn't be surprised if he had aces or kings. At least this is the pattern of a bad player. These are the same guys that mini-raise out of the BB after 3 or 4 limpers, get their aces cracked, and then complain about bad beats.

Regardless, this should be the easiest fold ever for you here.

[ChuckyB]

I usually take that to mean he's terrified of the three straight cards and two flush cards on the flop, so he's really over-betting to shut down the draws. Usually the donk's hand is so marginal, though winning at this moment.

[tshort]

I wouldn't even rule out AJ.