$215 Custer hand - standard ish, but maybe induce bluff on river?

tigerite · #1 12-11-2005, 07:32 PM

PartyPoker - NL Texas Hold'em $200 Buy-in + $15 Entry Fee Tournament | Level: 1 - 8 players (Converter: PGC)

Button is N/A
SB is N/A

Chip Counts:
Button: 1950 Chips
SB: 925 Chips
BB: 1000 Chips
Hero: 1000 Chips
UTG+1: 950 Chips
MP1: 2705 Chips
MP2: 970 Chips
CO: 500 Chips

Hero is UTG with J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
Blinds are 10/15

PreFlop
Hero RAISES ($45), UTG+1 folds, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, CO folds, Button Calls
SB Calls, BB folds

(3 players) FLOP: J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ( Pot Size: 150 Chips )
SB checks, Hero BETS ($100), Button Calls
SB Calls

(3 players) TURN: 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ( Pot Size: 450 Chips )
SB checks, Hero BETS ($300), Button Calls
SB folds

(2 players) RIVER: 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ( Pot Size: 1050 Chips )
Hero is All-In, Button Calls

Final Pot:2160 Chips

Obviously, this line is fine anyway, and can't really be faulted. But maybe checking to induce a bluff on the river might be more +EV here? I mean he's going to get paid off by AJ a lot here anyway, especially by someone who can't lay down TPTK like this guy seems to be, but maybe some kind of wacko draw like 98d might take a stab at the river if checked to.

#2 12-11-2005, 08:17 PM

I wrote out that I agreed with you and then checked stack sizes. I think whiffed draws are pretty likely to check behind since they can't expect much FE here, so we can't expect much benefit from checking. The benefit of betting is to get money out of weak hands hoping you've completely missed like a diamond draw that paired the turn or river.

P.S. I think you made a mistake in OP. 89d almost definitely checks behind this river, as he would've made second pair. A hand like QTd or Axd may take a stab.

Maulik · #3 12-11-2005, 08:35 PM

yes tiger playing 215!

Maulik · #4 12-11-2005, 08:38 PM

given the calls made I'd like to assume villain isn't drawing and has a made hand?

villain with a tptk hand is likely calling you here whereas a missed draw is likely checking behind.

I think the latter outweights the chance of stacking the said villain.

tigerite · #5 12-11-2005, 08:40 PM

No I'm still at the $109s, this was one of Custer's hands. Not that there seems to be a huge difference between the two as far as I can tell, but anyways..