#1
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Calculation of probability of a flush draw
Hand is Ah xh,
flop is xh xh (any other card not a heart) Probability of drawing the flush: Everybody knows its 1/4 + 1/4 = 50% right? My calculation seems to be about as dumb and I don't understand why. I think the proper formula is (1-((47-9)/47)*((46-9)/46)) = 1-(36*35/47*46) = 1-.583 = .417 But all the charts I see say it's ~.36 Would one of you math buffs show me the error of my ways, please? D [img]/images/graemlins/crazy.gif[/img] |
#2
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Re: Calculation of probability of a flush draw
47-9=38 and 46-9=37 so the result should be 1-(38*37/47*46)
or 378/1081 or about 0.34968. |
#3
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Re: Calculation of probability of a flush draw
Thanks.
I was so worried about the formula, I forgot how to subtract. I knew this was dumb, just not that dumb. D |
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