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Old 01-02-2005, 11:09 PM
TStoneMBD TStoneMBD is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Rome, NY
Posts: 268
Default Roulette: Can this game be profitable? My fathers gambling addiction.

My father has a bit of a gambling problem. He believes that he can beat the game of roulette and was trying to convince me of it. He has 2 strategies that he believes combined allows for him to beat the game. Of course, life time he has lost tons and has built credit card debt through gambling. I have tried extremely hard to try and explain to him on a mathematical level that he cannot in fact beat the game of roulette. I have also tried to explain to him winning tactics for texas holdem as he plays that game as well, but he does not understand terms such as pot odds. He has difficulties restraining himself from playing hands like Q7o UTG, and apparently is on tilt at all times. It's difficult to sum up his psychological makeup as far as gambling is concerned, because I have been studying him all my life. Regardless, his strategies for beating roulette are as follows; He believes in the Martingale system even though he doesnt have an appropriate bankroll to use it properly. He is inclined to bet $1, then $2, then $4 but not 8. He also believes that he can predict which side of the wheel the ball will drop on by timing the balls rotations. He bets 18 numbers on each roll, all 18 being on one side of the wheel. He swears that sometimes a dealer will throw the ball and it will land 4 numbers ahead every spin, and therefore he rotates his 18bets 4 at a time in order of the side of the wheel he is on. I obviously cannot mathetmatically disprove his belief that he can predict the side of the wheel, as its like trying to disprove the belief in God or evolution. Is there anything I can do to help his addiction? I hate seeing him throw money out the window like this. He doesnt play craps or blackjack as he is aware that those are losing games, but he believes stubbornly that roulette is profitable. I have shown him articles on the internet discreditting the Martingale system, showing that does not turn roulette into a profitable game, yet he still doesnt believe it is a losing situation due to his belief that he can predict the side of the wheel.

Any help?
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