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#1
12-21-2005, 01:34 AM
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Re: 5/10: Controlling how many bets go in on the river
The way I see this, we are likely screwed here so I wouldn't carry it any further and just take it to SD. The majority of his hand range beats us, and he IS going crazy even though your 3-bet should have told him, yes, you too have a flush. Do you really think he is going nuts with something like 65 or 52? Even if it were so, we are still more likely to be behind.
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#2
12-21-2005, 10:18 AM
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Re: 5/10: Controlling how many bets go in on the river
[ QUOTE ]
The way I see this, we are likely screwed here so I wouldn't carry it any further and just take it to SD. [/ QUOTE ] Bump for day crew. FWIW I thought a flopped two pair or a J with a big heart was more likely than a flopped set or another flush. But those are possible, too.
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#3
12-21-2005, 10:30 AM
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Re: 5/10: Controlling how many bets go in on the river
Purely on an intuitive level, I'd just call that river.
I actually don't think he's got a higher flush. Because in that case, I believe he'd try a stopngo on the turn (i.e., just call the 3-bet and plan a c/r on the river). So that leaves the choices of a smaller flush or 2 pair or trips. Put a gun to my head and I say he had trips on the turn. But this is all based on hunches, not anything reliable like probabilities.
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