100NL full: Opponent is good and loose and capable of anything...

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No-Limit Hold'em, $ Hero (8 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

CO ($92.00)
Button ($88.00)
SB ($138.00)
Hero ($320.00)
UTG ($99)
UTG+1 ($150.00)
MP1 ($110.00)
MP2 ($86.00)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.50.
UTG calls $1, <font color="#666666">6 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $4</font>, UTG calls $4.

Flop: ($10.50) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $8</font>, UTG calls $8.

Turn: ($26.50) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $15</font>, UTG calls $15.

River: ($56.50) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $25</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $50</font>, Hero calls $25.

I can get away from a raise on the turn but not a size raise on the river it seems. I can also slow down on the turn but I put my opponent on an overpair so I wanted value. Villain could've simply had an overpair or a busted draw but then maybe they would've bet more than the minimum.

Any thoughts on this?

I'll check/call the river. other than that. fine.

Edit: reason being you are OOP with an overpair, and you don't want to be facing a raise on the river.

[wall_st]

Check call the river seems optimal...but as played I would fold to the min river raise, why is he going to wait to min raise the river with just an overpair ? He has to know what you have by now if he is good like you said. 67s ships just came in too. No one is bluff raising the river with a min raise, he is sucking value you out of you because he knows what you have and knows that you will call.

I smell a set. If I spiked a set on a board like that in a raised pot I'd play it the same way villain did.

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I'll check/call the river. other than that. fine.

Edit: reason being you are OOP with an overpair, and you don't want to be facing a raise on the river.

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Out of curiousity, what are you putting villian on here? If you check/call the river on this board, what do you need to bet? A set or better? Seems too weak to me...

As played, looks fine.

[Fallen Hero]

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I'll check/call the river. other than that. fine.

Edit: reason being you are OOP with an overpair, and you don't want to be facing a raise on the river.

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Out of curiousity, what are you putting villian on here? If you check/call the river on this board, what do you need to bet? A set or better? Seems too weak to me...

As played, looks fine.

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it's not weak to not fire three times with an overpair

So we think UTG must have a set here?

Also, he could have 88, 99, TT and put you on ace-high... unfortunately the 88 catches up with you. Your bets are not pot sized, therefore could be interpreted as weak... but I have no idea how much you've been betting in the past.

I do note that as the streets go on, you bet a lower and lower percentage of the pot.

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if you check/call the river on this board, what do you need to bet? A set or better? Seems too weak to me...

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TPTK and overpairs need only two value bets without a read. For exactly reasons like this.


Edit: you dont want to play a big pot oop with unimproved overpair. In position you can value bet that river or call if bet to.

Edit2: it should be obvious why you dont want to play big pots oop with vulnerable hands..

Getting raised on the river sucks, still gotta call tho. Check call river is ok, but I think its more optimal to just fire 3 barrels on a board like this.