AQs OTB vs total nut

[Redd]

I agree with Alobar that this decision really just depends on how much you know/trust your read. The best information that everyone discussing the hand can use is the Villain's numbers (would you expect his AF to be converged?).

By those numbers, I think a turn cap is ok but, trying to cap the river is way too much. 90/2 is pretty damned aggressive, but it's not like he's 90/5 or anything; he can still find a call for every two bets.

We're about 50/50 that his ace is better than ours. So unless you're confident he can cap the flop, turn, and river with an 8 or pocket (and I wouldn't expect someone with those numbers to do this), the possiblity of other 2p and set hands makes a river raise pretty slim.