100 vs 6500

[TheIrishThug]

a friend an i have a bet going on the wsop me. he picks 100 names and i get the field. we did the stats to make it a fair bet bassed on the assumption that a pro is 3x as good as a random player. if none of the 100 make the final table i win x, if one of the 100 make the table and don't win he gets y and if one of the 100 wins he gets z. it works out that i should win x 66% of the time.

here r the names that my friend picked:
Yehia "Joe" Awada
Chris Bigler
Andy Bloch
Farzad Bonyadi
Humberto Brenes
Doyle Brunson
Todd Brunson
Joe Cassidy
"Miami" John Cernuto
Johnny Chan
David Chiu
Paul "Eskimo" Clark
TJ Cloutier
Dave Colclough
Hoyt Corkins
Allen Cunningham
John D'Agostino
Paul Darden
Kassem "Freddy" Deeb
Charidimos "Harry" Demetriou
Asher Derei
Annie Duke
Antonio Esfandiari
Eli Elezra
Chris "Jesus" Ferguson
Scott Fischman
Layne Flack
Ted Forrest
Prahlad Friedman
Bill Gazes
Kirill Gerasimov
Chau Giang
Alan Goehring
Phil Gordon
Barry Greenstein
Mark Gregorich
David Grey
Hasan Habib
Gus Hansen
Jennifer Harman-Traniello
Dan Harrington
Phil Hellmuth, Jr.
Juha Helppi
John Hennigan
Bobby Hoff
Can Kim Hua
Phil Ivey
Chip Jett
John Juanda
Mel Judah
Thomas "Thunder" Keller
Hung La
Meng La
Phil "Unabomber" Laak
Nam Le
Tuan Le
Howard Lederer
Alfredo "Toto" Leonidas
Kathy Liebert
Erick Lindgren
Jeffrey Lisandro
Marcel Luske
Minh Ly
Hieu Ngoc "Tony" Ma
Lee Markholt
Mike Matusow
"Minneapolis" Jim Meehan
Michael "The Grinder" Mizrachi
Juan Carlos Mortensen
Daniel Negreanu
Men "The Master" Nguyen
Minh Nguyen
Thuan "Scotty" Nguyen
David Oppenheim
David Pham
Thang "Kido" Pham
John Phan
Young Phan
Paul Phillips
David "Chip" Reese
Blair Rodman
Erik "Erik123" Sagstrom
Huck Seed
Erik Seidel
Mark Seif
Charlie Shoten
Gavin Smith
David Sklansky
Surinder Sunar
Gabriel Thaler
Dewey Tomko
Justin Cuong Van "JC" Tran
Thithi "Mimi" Tran
David "Devilfish" Ulliott
Amir Vahedi
Ram Vaswani
Lee Watkinson
David Williams
Robert Williamson III
Steve Zolotow

what do u think about the bet? assumed edge of a pro? names picked?