#1
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some missed overcards
I know most people aren't big fans of multi-hand post but there are only 3 of them, they are pretty short and have a common theme.
They are also situations that occur often and I believe people tend struggle with them. All hands are on Party 3/6 6max. Assume no reads unless some are noted: Hand 1 (3 handed): The BB plays a lot of hands but has not seemed overly aggressive in the short time we've played together. Preflop: Hero is Button with K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. Hero raises from the UTG/BT, SB folds, BB calls. Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Check, bet, call. Turn: 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Check, bet, BB raises, Hero folds getting 6-1 immediate pot odds. Bad fold only 3 handed? Hand 2 ( handed): No reads. Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>. UTG folds, BT raises, Hero (SB) 3-bets, BB folds, BT calls. Flop: 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Bet, call. Turn: Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Bet, call. River: 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Check, check. Who's calling a river bet? Anyone bet the river? Anyone check the turn? Hand 3 (5 handed): No reads. Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. UTG limps, MP limps, Hero raises from the BT, blinds fold, limpers call. Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> UTG checks, MP checks, Hero bets, UTG calls, MP folds. Turn: Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> UTG checks, Hero checks. River: 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> UTG bets, Hero folds. Super weak? Who's following through on the turn? Who's at least calling the river bet after checking the turn? All comments welcome, thanks... Luke |
#2
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Re: some missed overcards
Hand 1: Close, but I fold since you have no other draws and your outs are not all clean.
Hand 2: Looks fine. Fold the river if he bets. Someone who calls the flop and turn on this board surely has atleast A high, and you are only spliting with Ax anyways. Hand 3: Betting the turn or checking/calling the river are both decent options. I rather bet the turn though to try get a pair to fold, and take a free showdown. |
#3
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Re: some missed overcards
Hand 1)
I think this is a pretty good line. You have outs but I think that you are behind very often here and are drawing dead a good % of the time. If you are only behind to a J or 5 (which is doubtfull-would a loose player be able to make a clever c/r holding only a 5 here?) you can't always count on making up a bet on the river if you catch you're K or (especially) A. I will hold out that you may be ahead a small fraction of the time but I wouldn't say that you have a clear 6 outs (the guy could have you reverse dominated now). Hand 2) I like all streets here and I am calling a river bet. I think villain will bluff or bet an A often enough for you to be ahead. It's tough to call though because you're only splitting if he's got an A and he's always betting a pp. There are 6.5 BB in there now and you're only getting 3.25 of those when you split but you get 6.5 when he bluffs. I was going to put numbers on this and compare EVs but I think without reads this would be too hard to do. I think that the pot is large enough here to call is all. Maybe I'm wrong. Hand 3) I follow through on the turn. Of course a K or Q will always call you but you may get a 7 or 3 to fold and other hands (like 98s) may fold also. Without a hand many weak players will fold here if they have nothing but some may not. I think you're a winner against a weak hand here either way. Let's say the guy's got the (98's) or even (T9s) He's got 6 or ten outs respectively. If he folds you win the pot right there but if he calls he's only getting 5.1 to one so he's making a mistake. Also, if you're behind you may get a free showdown. |
#4
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Re: some missed overcards
Hand 1- Getting only 6 to 1, I fold.
Hand 2- I might bet the river, just so we don't incur a bluff we don't call for fear of a chop. I'd rather get him to fold/ call to chop. Hand 3- I can't see myself calling the river here. I'm ok with a turn bet. |
#5
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Results and comments
Thanks for the thoughts guys.
My general feeling about the first hand is that until I know that this guy likes to bluff me (or others) off of pots, there's little reason to call that turn CR (and river as I feel I would be committing to doing). On hand 2, my opponent showed A2o and we ended up splitting. I think I'm folding to a river bet on this hand given that my opponent did raise preflop and call down to this point, making it pretty likely I'm against a pocket pair (I lose), queen/nine (I lose), ace (we split) or some other nonsense like Kx (I win). Hand 3, I think I should have bet the turn and taken the free showdown. There are a lot of hands that might fold that turn that shouldn't and if not, I might be head or at least have outs. A checkraise would suck but I don't think it's all that likely unless my ace outs are not good. Thanks again, Luke |
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